Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.1%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 85.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 92.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Rantanen
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Rantanen
Thomas
Last 10: Rantanen 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
0
Rantanen
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
9
Rantanen
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
53.2% (1,166)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
56.9% (262)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.4% (221)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thomas
Home
55.8% (258)
51.6% (830)
Away
51.8% (253)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Rantanen
Thomas
P1
50.0%
52.7%
P2
56.6%
55.6%
P3
54.3%
50.6%
OT
71.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |