Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Hartman 44.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 76.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 91.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Rantanen
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rantanen
Hartman
Last 5: Rantanen 1-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Rantanen
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
42.6% (495)
+8.3%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
38.5% (26)
+5.2%
On even strength, Rantanen has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hartman
Home
49.4% (241)
43.4% (288)
Away
48.6% (212)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Rantanen
Hartman
P1
47.1%
43.1%
P2
46.7%
43.4%
P3
51.9%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |