Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Hartman 47.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 95.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 81.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 71.9%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Rantanen
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rantanen
Hartman
Last 7: Rantanen 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
0
Rantanen
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Rantanen
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
47.1% (649)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
47.1% (68)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.2% (73)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hartman
Home
55.8% (258)
46.5% (361)
Away
51.8% (253)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Rantanen
Hartman
P1
50.0%
45.1%
P2
56.6%
44.4%
P3
54.3%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |