Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 94.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 78.1%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 65.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Rantanen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rantanen
Seguin
Last 8: Rantanen 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Rantanen
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Rantanen
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
55.0% (713)
-4.1%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
56.7% (104)
-13.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Seguin
Home
49.4% (241)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.6% (212)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Rantanen
Seguin
P1
47.1%
54.2%
P2
46.7%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |