Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 91.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 87.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Rantanen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rantanen
Seguin
Last 5: Rantanen 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Rantanen
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
56.9% (478)
-5.2%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
57.4% (54)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (76)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Seguin
Home
55.8% (258)
57.4% (317)
Away
51.8% (253)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Rantanen
Seguin
P1
50.0%
50.3%
P2
56.6%
60.4%
P3
54.3%
58.0%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |