Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 93.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 93.0%
7.0%
93.0%
Rantanen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Rantanen
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
48.0% (914)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
54.2% (48)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (123)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Rantanen shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Gourde
Home
55.8% (258)
50.2% (512)
Away
51.8% (253)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Rantanen
Gourde
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
45.3%
P3
54.3%
48.6%
OT
71.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |