Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 92.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Rantanen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rantanen
Gourde
Last 10: Rantanen 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rantanen
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Rantanen
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rantanen
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
57.4% (376)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
39.9% (554)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Gourde
Home
53.0% (1,067)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.3% (946)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Rantanen
Gourde
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
51.3%
47.4%
P3
51.8%
47.5%
OT
57.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |