Mitch Marner vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marner wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.1% vs Byfield 44.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 57.5%
Defensive zone
Byfield 74.4%
Neutral zone
Byfield 66.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Marner
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Marner
Byfield
Last 8: Marner 5-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Marner
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
2
0
Marner
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marner
2
1
Marner
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (462)
45.3% (2,107)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.3% (112)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
37.3% (225)
-1.9%
On power play, Marner has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Marner shoots right. Byfield is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (817).
Home / Away
Marner
Byfield
Home
38.2% (293)
45.2% (1,163)
Away
46.0% (252)
44.1% (1,281)
By Period
Marner
Byfield
P1
39.1%
45.0%
P2
41.1%
43.7%
P3
47.1%
45.5%
OT
40.0%
41.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |