Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 58.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Marner
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
47.8% (448)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
36.0% (25)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Marner
McLeod
Home
44.4% (9)
46.6% (253)
Away
66.7% (9)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Marner
McLeod
P1
80.0%
43.9%
P2
44.4%
45.9%
P3
33.3%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%