Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 57.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Marner
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
44.1% (749)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
52.9% (17)
+1.6%
On even strength, Marner has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Marner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Marner
Strome
Home
44.4% (9)
45.1% (441)
Away
66.7% (9)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Marner
Strome
P1
80.0%
42.9%
P2
44.4%
44.4%
P3
33.3%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%