Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.1% vs Strome 44.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Marner
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marner
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
1
0
Marner
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (462)
44.1% (6,839)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
49.3% (854)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
41.5% (410)
-6.1%
On power play, Marner has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Marner is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Marner shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Marner
Strome
Home
38.2% (293)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
46.0% (252)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Marner
Strome
P1
39.1%
44.0%
P2
41.1%
45.3%
P3
47.1%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |