Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 53.2% vs Nosek 51.4% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.9%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Stephens
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (122)
54.4% (215)
+2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
23.5% (17)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Stephens has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephens is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Stephens shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Stephens
Nosek
Home
52.9% (68)
50.4% (127)
Away
58.2% (67)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Stephens
Nosek
P1
56.7%
51.4%
P2
46.3%
51.3%
P3
64.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%