Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Stephens wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 56.1%
Defensive zone
Stephens 52.1%
Neutral zone
Stephens 53.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Stephens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stephens
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Stephens
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (135)
53.0% (400)
+4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
33.3% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
45.5% (44)
+4.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Stephens shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Stephens
Nosek
Home
53.9% (89)
49.6% (244)
Away
53.3% (105)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Stephens
Nosek
P1
47.4%
53.1%
P2
57.7%
51.4%
P3
57.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |