Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.9% vs Greig 45.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 51.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 55.8%
Neutral zone
Greig 55.1%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barron
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
0
Barron
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Barron
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (118)
45.2% (414)
+0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (14)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
28.6% (21)
+18.1%
On power play, Barron has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Barron shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Barron
Greig
Home
48.4% (64)
46.4% (196)
Away
44.3% (70)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Barron
Greig
P1
52.1%
40.8%
P2
46.4%
46.4%
P3
37.9%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |