Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.2% vs Greig 48.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 55.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 59.0%
Neutral zone
Barron 50.4%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Barron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barron
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
0
Barron
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Barron
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (731)
48.5% (1,133)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.8% (74)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (209)
46.5% (172)
-3.9%
On power play, Greig has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Barron shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Barron
Greig
Home
45.5% (457)
49.8% (681)
Away
50.3% (489)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Barron
Greig
P1
47.6%
46.3%
P2
51.3%
51.2%
P3
45.0%
48.8%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |