Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barron wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 73.1%
Defensive zone
Barron 83.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.5%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Barron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barron
Hartman
Last 7: Barron 6-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
4
1
Barron
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (371)
44.8% (830)
+4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.8% (92)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (174)
37.5% (16)
+4.5%
On power play, Hartman has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Barron shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Barron
Hartman
Home
44.9% (283)
45.0% (515)
Away
48.3% (265)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Barron
Hartman
P1
44.8%
46.5%
P2
50.7%
39.9%
P3
43.6%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |