Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barron wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 81.9%
Neutral zone
Barron 63.9%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Barron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Barron
Hartman
Last 8: Barron 7-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
4
1
Barron
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
3
0
Barron
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (731)
45.2% (4,235)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.4% (443)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (209)
42.4% (262)
+0.2%
On even strength, Barron has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barron is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Barron shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Barron
Hartman
Home
45.5% (457)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
50.3% (489)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Barron
Hartman
P1
47.6%
46.0%
P2
51.3%
42.9%
P3
45.0%
46.8%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |