Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Frost 51.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 84.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 72.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Pettersson
Frost
Last 7: Pettersson 1-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Pettersson
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Pettersson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
50.3% (825)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
54.9% (204)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
50.0% (4)
+1.9%
On even strength, Frost has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
48.1% (489)
50.7% (489)
Away
46.9% (475)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
47.8%
P3
46.6%
52.0%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |