Elias Pettersson vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 82.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 82.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Pettersson
Frost
Last 10: Pettersson 2-8 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
7
Pettersson
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Pettersson
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
5
Pettersson
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
49.4% (3,598)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
55.5% (625)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
52.8% (36)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
46.8% (2,734)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
44.7%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
51.1%
P3
47.4%
48.5%
OT
39.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |