Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Frost 51.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 68.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Rodrigues
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Frost
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Rodrigues
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
50.3% (825)
-4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
54.9% (204)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On power play, Frost has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Frost
Home
46.5% (142)
50.7% (489)
Away
43.6% (140)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Rodrigues
Frost
P1
42.9%
53.6%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
42.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |