Morgan Frost vs Rourke Chartier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.0%). Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Chartier 50.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.9%
Defensive zone
Chartier 75.5%
Neutral zone
Chartier 58.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Frost
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Frost
Chartier
Last 6: Frost 1-5 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Chartier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Frost
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
3
Frost
Chartier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
50.8% (329)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
66.7% (6)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
45.6% (79)
+7.2%
On power play, Chartier has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Frost
Chartier
Home
51.0% (2,047)
48.3% (240)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Frost
Chartier
P1
50.8%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
48.1%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |