Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Chartier 51.9% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Frost 68.9%
Defensive zone
Chartier 59.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Frost
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
59.3% (27)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
50.0% (6)
+5.6%
On even strength, Chartier has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Frost
Chartier
Home
47.0% (440)
54.5% (11)
Away
44.8% (511)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Frost
Chartier
P1
42.5%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
55.6%
P3
46.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%