Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Donato 45.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 73.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 69.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 68.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Frost
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Frost
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Frost
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Frost
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
43.5% (400)
+6.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
48.7% (119)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Frost
Donato
Home
50.7% (489)
50.2% (279)
Away
51.7% (544)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Frost
Donato
P1
53.6%
44.6%
P2
47.8%
46.6%
P3
52.0%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |