Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Donato 44.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 83.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 82.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 85.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Frost
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Frost
Donato
Last 10: Frost 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
1
Frost
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Frost
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
44.2% (1,179)
+5.2%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
46.3% (246)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
36.4% (11)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Frost
Donato
Home
51.0% (2,047)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Frost
Donato
P1
50.8%
43.4%
P2
51.1%
45.1%
P3
48.5%
44.4%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |