Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.8%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Laughton 50.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.0%
Defensive zone
Laughton 56.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Frost
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Frost
Laughton
Last 5: Frost 4-1 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Frost
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
52.3% (398)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
51.4% (37)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
41.3% (63)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Frost
Laughton
Home
50.7% (489)
51.2% (285)
Away
51.7% (544)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Frost
Laughton
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |