Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.4%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Laughton 50.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 82.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 66.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Frost
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Frost
Laughton
Last 5: Frost 4-1 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Frost
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
50.9% (5,383)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
52.6% (327)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
46.6% (887)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,329).
Home / Away
Frost
Laughton
Home
51.0% (2,047)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Frost
Laughton
P1
50.8%
49.2%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
48.5%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |