Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 78.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Frost
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Frost
Monahan
Last 10: Frost 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
1
Frost
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Frost
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
52.4% (853)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
58.6% (174)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.5% (144)
+3.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Frost
Monahan
Home
50.7% (489)
53.4% (624)
Away
51.7% (544)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Frost
Monahan
P1
53.6%
53.7%
P2
47.8%
52.4%
P3
52.0%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |