Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Stützle 43.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 87.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 75.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Frost
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Frost
Stützle
Last 7: Frost 5-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
2
Frost
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
42.7% (457)
+2.9%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
20.0% (5)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
25.0% (24)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Frost
Stützle
Home
47.0% (440)
43.1% (253)
Away
44.8% (511)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Frost
Stützle
P1
42.5%
44.9%
P2
47.9%
43.9%
P3
46.6%
35.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |