Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Stützle 47.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.5%
Defensive zone
Stützle 75.4%
Neutral zone
Stützle 54.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Frost
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Frost
Stützle
Last 5: Frost 2-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Frost
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
45.3% (468)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
62.5% (24)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
60.0% (20)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Frost
Stützle
Home
49.9% (399)
46.3% (270)
Away
49.1% (424)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Frost
Stützle
P1
51.2%
46.1%
P2
53.9%
45.8%
P3
42.7%
48.2%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |