Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.6%). Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Frost wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 69.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Frost
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Frost
Trocheck
Last 6: Frost 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Frost
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
57.8% (626)
-2.9%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
63.6% (151)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
44.0% (141)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Frost shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Frost
Trocheck
Home
56.0% (443)
54.4% (390)
Away
56.6% (429)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Frost
Trocheck
P1
58.9%
56.4%
P2
55.3%
58.7%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |