Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 57.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 82.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 67.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Frost
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Frost
Trocheck
Last 8: Frost 5-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
54.3% (955)
-6.9%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
64.6% (96)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.0% (194)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Frost
Trocheck
Home
51.1% (221)
58.3% (604)
Away
45.9% (246)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Frost
Trocheck
P1
47.5%
53.9%
P2
52.3%
55.7%
P3
44.7%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |