Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Frost
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Frost
Trocheck
Last 5: Frost 2-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
55.0% (956)
-9.4%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
59.8% (266)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
56.3% (64)
-0.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Frost shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Frost
Trocheck
Home
47.0% (440)
57.7% (673)
Away
44.8% (511)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Frost
Trocheck
P1
42.5%
55.4%
P2
47.9%
55.6%
P3
46.6%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |