Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.5%). Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Geekie 52.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lizotte
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lizotte
Geekie
Last 5: Lizotte 1-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Lizotte
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Lizotte
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
53.2% (615)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
44.4% (36)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
44.4% (18)
+6.5%
On power play, Lizotte has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Geekie
Home
52.5% (326)
55.0% (331)
Away
50.5% (281)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Lizotte
Geekie
P1
51.4%
53.9%
P2
56.3%
56.0%
P3
46.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |