Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowling wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.0% vs Geekie 51.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 52.5%
Defensive zone
Geekie 52.3%
Neutral zone
Dowling 57.8%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dowling
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowling
Geekie
Last 6: Dowling 2-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
4
Dowling
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (82)
55.3% (114)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
41.7% (24)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dowling is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Dowling shoots left. Geekie is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Dowling
Geekie
Home
51.1% (47)
58.2% (67)
Away
48.7% (39)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Dowling
Geekie
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
52.0%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |