Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.6% vs Paul 53.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 67.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Geekie
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Geekie
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (117)
53.2% (327)
-6.2%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
61.4% (57)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (32)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Geekie shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Geekie
Paul
Home
45.3% (75)
54.6% (183)
Away
46.8% (79)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Geekie
Paul
P1
43.1%
56.3%
P2
48.1%
54.8%
P3
47.5%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |