Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 64.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 54.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Geekie
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Geekie
Stastny
Last 5: Geekie 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Geekie
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
59.2% (370)
-6.0%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
40.9% (44)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
51.7% (58)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Geekie shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Geekie
Stastny
Home
55.0% (331)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.0% (338)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Geekie
Stastny
P1
53.9%
57.7%
P2
56.0%
54.2%
P3
46.5%
57.7%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |