Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 69.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 60.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Geekie
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Geekie
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
57.5% (412)
-7.6%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
60.0% (65)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
44.4% (9)
+4.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Geekie shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Geekie
Stastny
Home
50.0% (314)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.3% (290)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Geekie
Stastny
P1
51.3%
63.7%
P2
46.9%
57.3%
P3
49.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |