Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 43.9%). Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Greig 45.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 50.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 51.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 51.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Geekie
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Geekie
Greig
Last 5: Geekie 3-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
1
Geekie
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
45.2% (414)
-1.5%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
28.6% (14)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
28.6% (21)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Geekie
Greig
Home
45.3% (329)
46.4% (196)
Away
42.9% (331)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Geekie
Greig
P1
41.2%
40.8%
P2
45.0%
46.4%
P3
46.2%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |