Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Greig 53.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 77.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 74.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 51.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Geekie
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Geekie
Greig
Last 7: Geekie 3-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Geekie
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Geekie
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
53.6% (280)
-7.9%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
61.3% (31)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.5% (69)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Geekie
Greig
Home
48.5% (165)
56.2% (185)
Away
45.0% (209)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Geekie
Greig
P1
48.5%
52.8%
P2
45.1%
51.6%
P3
45.8%
59.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |