Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 51.5% vs Colton 49.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 51.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 56.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 57.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Geekie
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Geekie
Colton
Last 7: Geekie 3-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
1
Geekie
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Geekie
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (114)
49.2% (199)
+6.1%
Power Play
41.7% (24)
33.3% (9)
+8.4%
On power play, Geekie has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Geekie is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Geekie shoots right. Colton is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Geekie
Colton
Home
58.2% (67)
46.3% (121)
Away
47.3% (74)
51.7% (87)
By Period
Geekie
Colton
P1
50.0%
56.2%
P2
52.0%
46.8%
P3
57.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |