Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.2%). Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Colton 51.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 66.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 56.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 60.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Geekie
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Geekie
Colton
Last 7: Geekie 5-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Geekie
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
0
Geekie
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
52.7% (524)
+0.5%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
50.9% (53)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
0.0% (4)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Geekie shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Geekie
Colton
Home
55.0% (331)
52.9% (291)
Away
50.0% (338)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Geekie
Colton
P1
53.9%
50.6%
P2
56.0%
54.4%
P3
46.5%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |