Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Colton 51.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 78.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 78.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 75.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Geekie
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Geekie
Colton
Last 9: Geekie 1-8 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
3
Geekie
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
5
Geekie
Colton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
52.1% (741)
-8.4%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
48.3% (60)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
On even strength, Colton has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Geekie
Colton
Home
45.3% (329)
54.0% (411)
Away
42.9% (331)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Geekie
Colton
P1
41.2%
56.7%
P2
45.0%
53.1%
P3
46.2%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Ross Colton |