Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 66.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 69.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 66.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Geekie
McLeod
Last 7: Geekie 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Geekie
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Geekie
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
51.3% (628)
-7.6%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
68.3% (41)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
45.3% (329)
51.5% (394)
Away
42.9% (331)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
41.2%
51.5%
P2
45.0%
47.0%
P3
46.2%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |