Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.6% vs McLeod 47.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 80.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Geekie
McLeod
Last 5: Geekie 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Geekie
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (117)
49.2% (796)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
44.8% (87)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
43.3% (263)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
45.3% (75)
49.2% (575)
Away
46.8% (79)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
43.1%
52.8%
P2
48.1%
45.1%
P3
47.5%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
37.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |