Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 76.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Geekie
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Geekie
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Geekie
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
49.4% (445)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
100.0% (3)
-52.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
41.9% (117)
+8.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kuraly
Home
45.3% (329)
49.2% (248)
Away
42.9% (331)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Geekie
Kuraly
P1
41.2%
48.3%
P2
45.0%
44.7%
P3
46.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |