Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 76.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 71.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Geekie
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Geekie
Kuraly
Last 10: Geekie 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
7
4
Geekie
Kuraly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
1
Geekie
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.7%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
56.0% (100)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.2% (1,086)
+1.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Geekie shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (1,281)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Geekie
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
51.1%
P2
48.8%
49.9%
P3
47.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |