Morgan Geekie vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 79.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 79.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Geekie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Geekie
Karlsson
Last 10: Geekie 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
5
Geekie
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
8
Geekie
Karlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Geekie
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
54.8% (1,048)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.2% (1,109)
+1.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Geekie shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Geekie
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (1,281)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Geekie
Karlsson
P1
48.6%
50.3%
P2
48.8%
51.3%
P3
47.7%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |