Morgan Geekie vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.2%
Defensive zone
Geekie 67.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 71.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Geekie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Geekie
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Geekie
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
58.6% (597)
-12.9%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
57.9% (57)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.9% (52)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Geekie
Karlsson
Home
48.5% (165)
59.6% (344)
Away
45.0% (209)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Geekie
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
53.1%
P2
45.1%
62.1%
P3
45.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |