Morgan Geekie vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 79.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 82.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Geekie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Geekie
Karlsson
Last 9: Geekie 2-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Geekie
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Geekie
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Geekie
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
56.3% (739)
-12.6%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
58.6% (181)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Geekie
Karlsson
Home
45.3% (329)
56.5% (462)
Away
42.9% (331)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Geekie
Karlsson
P1
41.2%
57.1%
P2
45.0%
55.2%
P3
46.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |