Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Danielson wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danielson 42.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 66.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 85.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 82.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Danielson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danielson
Gourde
Last 5: Danielson 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danielson
1
0
Danielson
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danielson
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danielson
2
0
Danielson
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danielson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (140)
47.2% (654)
-9.3%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
45.0% (20)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.2% (87)
+67.8%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +67.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Danielson shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Danielson
Gourde
Home
38.4% (99)
44.1% (322)
Away
36.2% (47)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Danielson
Gourde
P1
41.2%
42.4%
P2
37.7%
49.8%
P3
33.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Nate Danielson |